Cash

Real returnLong term about 0%
Volatility0% +- 0%
Correlation0 to all
TestfolioCASHX (vs INFLATION)
InflationNominal

Cash comes in several forms:

  • Bank deposits
  • Short-term goverment bonds and other high quality bonds
  • Money market funds holding the above

The cash interest rate, also called the “risk free rate” is ultimately set by the central bank of a currency. They determine the central bank despoit rate, which is transmitted through banks to everypne.

The main way they determine the interest rate is like this:

  • Inflation is too high: increase interest rate
  • Inflation is too low: decrease interest rate

To be a bit more precise, the Taylor rule says that real return of cash should be about 50% of the difference in actual inflation and desired inflation.

Since central banks are pretty good at their job the real return of cash is around 0%. Periods of over-inflation and under-inflation also kind of cancel out. There is a lot of discussion about r* (r-star) as well.

Foreign exchange

Foreign exchange isn’t really an asset class by itself. However, the fact that there are multiple currencies with changing exchange rate may be used by strategies.