Cash
Real return | Long term about 0% |
Volatility | 0% +- 0% |
Correlation | 0 to all |
Testfolio | CASHX (vs INFLATION) |
Inflation | Nominal |
Cash comes in several forms:
- Bank deposits
- Short-term goverment bonds and other high quality bonds
- Money market funds holding the above
The cash interest rate, also called the “risk free rate” is ultimately set by the central bank of a currency. They determine the central bank despoit rate, which is transmitted through banks to everypne.
The main way they determine the interest rate is like this:
- Inflation is too high: increase interest rate
- Inflation is too low: decrease interest rate
To be a bit more precise, the Taylor rule says that real return of cash should be about 50% of the difference in actual inflation and desired inflation.
Since central banks are pretty good at their job the real return of cash is around 0%. Periods of over-inflation and under-inflation also kind of cancel out. There is a lot of discussion about r* (r-star) as well.
Foreign exchange
Foreign exchange isn’t really an asset class by itself. However, the fact that there are multiple currencies with changing exchange rate may be used by strategies.